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Geopolitics – Will America Have a Seat at the Table

The United States Waning Geopolitical Power.

After the Cold War culminated and the United States proclaimed itself the victor, the economic and military power of the US was now unchallenged.

The US pushed forward with its’ agenda and assumed the stance of a uni-polar
geopolitical power for the 21st century.

All nation states monitored America’s activities. Trying to wiggle themselves
into an advantageous position by siding up with the Big Dog.

A few years passed — and like a professional athlete that spent too much time reading
his newspaper clippings — the US developed a demeanor riddled with hubris, pomposity,
and hauteur – the US forgot the effort and sacrifice it takes to maintain status as a
global leader— and they began to get soft in mind and body and dropped their guard.

The US elected a leadership with a mindset that does not advocate America occupying
a dominant position in world affairs.
America turned its’ priorities to social re-ordering in alignment with ethnic and ideological
beliefs that have been double-speak labeled as political correctness.
Dealing with real world problems is an irritant that takes away from domestic objectives.

US corporations are getting nervous and trying to relocate their headquarters out of
the United States (Inversion). New legislation was passed to block them from leaving.

High wealth individuals are giving up their US citizenship and leaving the US.
New tax laws were created as obstacles to them becoming expats.

The president of the US, by way of implementation of executive actions/orders,
has increased “legal” unilateral powers associated with his position. Congressional legislative
procedures/powers have been circumvented.

The rapidly changing demographics in America will entirely change the future political arena.
If the citizens vote strictly along the color line, then the US will gravitate to one gigantic
political party with a president that will have an enormous amount of power.
Blanket amnesty, open borders, injection of legal and illegal immigrants/refugees into
American society will accelerate the shift to unchecked power.

The current administration’s creation of “behavioral insights teams”, and implementing
them strategically to formulate public opinion, broadcasts overtones of Hegelian Dialectics.

Those foreign sovereign states that want a shot at the world title, are taking detailed notes and
are encouraged by these events.

They realized that to take down America you have to go after its’ economic base.
The two biggest economic, geopolitical powers that the US has, is that the world’s
reserve currency and the petrodollar are based on the US Dollar.
Take those powers away and its’ knees start to buckle.

Thus, over the past several years — accelerating after 2008 — the contenders starting
making their moves in the international trade arena.

China led the challenge by creating the strategy of establishing bi-lateral trade agreements
based on the currencies of the two participating countries. This bypasses the long established system for international payment transactions that use SWIFT (Society of Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication) which is transacted in USD.

The world bankers realize that the US is losing financial stability due to its’ current
fiscal policies – or lack of thereof.

The past several years the international banking stakeholders have been looking for
a way out of the future dilemma of a waning USD.
Desperately propping the dollar up will eventually reach diminishing proportions and
the house of cards will start to fall.

Those in power, such as the IMF (International Monetary Fund) would like to establish/harmonize
one international currency to transact world trade. The IMF has suggested using the SDR(special drawing rights) as that financial instrument.

However, I would be surprised if that happens as the world trade arena is changing.
I would change my opinion, if the world needed a major financial bailout.
Then the IMF might step-up and we will all end up being lifelong debtors.

Country bi-lateral and regional bi-lateral trade agreements are on the increase.
Just announced this week, a bi-lateral trade agreement between Brazil and Uruguay.

Indications are out there, that this trend is here to stay. We are being accelerated into the
“multi-polar” world of international trade that diminishes the use of the USD.

Recent economic sanctions placed on Russia, due to the situation in Ukraine, are
going to strengthen the RCSP (Russia China Strategic Partnership). If you can get
around the use of USD then the sanctions are less economically invasive.
In the near future, out of economic necessity, other nations might dock with the RCSP.

The possibility exists that anti-America and fickle allies will start to attack the petrodollar.
There is no reason why oil transactions have to be based in USD.
Saudi Arabia can change that with a flick of a camel’s eye.

If the US loses reserve and petrodollar status and the FED tries to pay off
government debt with inflation, then American citizens will enter the economic house-of-pain.

The events in the near future will be an indication of what path international traders
will take.

In the future, will nation states prefer to trade in their own national currency or
will the world of commerce still find it more convenient to use one currency for
bank reserves and trading in oil ?— is China’s Renminbi to be the replacement?

Regards

George

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